Tuesday, March 8, 2016

Tuesday Morning Changes

Several upsets in Conference Tournament play on Monday night impacted the field and the Bubble. 

NEW TO THE FIELD:


  • UNC Wilmington earns an automatic bid with its thrilling overtime victory over the Colonial Regular Season Champion Hofstra in the Conference Tournament Title Game.  They enter my projection as a 13 Seed.
  • Iona upset MAAC Regular Season Champion Monmouth 79-76 in the MAAC Title game, also earning an automatic bid.  Iona enters the projection as a 14 seed and sends Monmouth to the bubble.  More on that in a moment ...
  • Summit League Regular season champion IPFW was upset by North Dakota State in the Semi-Finals of their tourney.  They will play South Dakota State tonight in the title game.  South Dakota, as the highest remaining seed enters the projection as a result, coming in on the 13 Seed line
  • UW Green Bay upset Horizon League Regular Season Champs Valparaiso in overtime of their Semi-Final contest last night, moving them into the projection as a 15 Seed and sending Valpo to the Bubble.
OUT OF THE FEILD:

  • Monmouth falls out of the field and in to the 'First Four Out' grouping.
  • VCU falls out of the field and in to the 'First Four Out' as Valpo narrowly edges them out in my projection as the last team into the field.  VCU has the benefit of being able to play their way back into the field, beginning Friday Night in the Quarter Finals of the Atlantic 10 Tournament.  They will play the winner of Thursday's match-up between U-Mass and Rhode Island.  They will likely need at least 2 wins this weekend, and some help from teams ahead of them on the bubble losing to climb back in ... or of course, run the table and win the A10 Tournament to earn an Automatic Bid.
THE BUBBLE:

FIRST FOUR BYES:  PITT, USC, Butler, Syracuse
LAST FOUR IN:  Vanderbilt, Cincinnati, UConn, Valparaiso
FIRST FOUR OUT:  VCU, George Washington, Monmouth, Michigan
NEXT FOUR OUT:  Tulsa, Alabama, Florida, Virginia Tech
OUT(For Now):  LSU, Ohio State

Automatic Bids Earned Monday Night:

  • UNC Wilmington (Colonial)
  • Iona (MAAC)
  • Chattanooga (Southern)



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