Sunday, March 13, 2016

SUNDAY MORNING UPDATE

Toughest field to project that I can remember in 9 years of doing this.  At the top, where 5 Teams are in competition for 3 remaining number 1 seeds all the way down to the bubble where there are 8 teams in competition for the 4 last spots.

#1 Seeds:


  1. Kansas - Locked in as #1 over-all
  2. North Carolina - Weak Resume', but as winners of both the Regular Season and Conference Tournament of the best Conference in the league this year (ACC) it's hard to imagine them not getting a #1
  3. Oregon - Winners of the PAC12 Regular Season Title won the Conference Tourney in Blow-Out last night.  There seems to be some sediment among the pundits that they only get in if Michigan State loses to Purdue today.  I think they're in
  4. Michigan State - I have them here assuming a win over Purdue in the Big Ten Title Game.  If they lose look for either Virginia, or Villanova to grab the last spot
Bubble Teams

Last Four In:  Temple, South Carolina, San Diego State, Saint Mary's
First Four Out:  Monmouth, Michigan, Syracuse, Vanderbilt
Out of Consideration:  Valparaiso, George Washington, Tulsa, Ohio State

What to Watch for Today

  • Who gets the last #1 Seed if Michigan State loses to Purdue
  • Memphis plays UCONN for the American Conference Title.  If Memphis wins they will steal a bid from the last team on the 'Last Four In' line.  I see that as being San Deigo State.
  • This year presents perhaps the most interesting choices for the Committee when selecting the last 4 -6 teams in.  Will they lean toward giving bids to Mid-Major Regular Season Champs who lost in Conference Tourney Finals (San Diego State, St. Mary's, Monmouth or even Akron) or Power Conference Teams who had more 'Signature Wins', but mediocre performances in conference, and weak non-conference schedules (South Carolina, Michigan, Syracuse, Vanderbilt)

1 comment:

  1. I guess they decided to go with Power Conference Teams. Michigan, Syracuse and Vandy get in ... Monmouth, SD State and St. Mary's doesn't. I hate the choices, but understand them. Tulsa is the only Mid-Major who seemed to get a break today, and they were probably the least deserving.

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