- Rhode Island, the 8 seed in the American Conference Tournament upset #1 Seed VCU. VCU was a lock before play began. With VCU out of the Conference Tournament, the AAC will have another bid with their conference winner, thus VCU losing shrunk the bubble by one line.
- Nevada, #1 seed in the Mountain West was also upset yesterday. San Diego State took out the Wolfpack and will play Utah State for the MWC Championship. I moved Utah State to a lock after their win over Fresno Stat. If I'm correct, SD State would steal a bid with a win
- Oregon advanced to the PAC12 Championship with a win over Arizona State in the Semi-Finals. Oregon will play Washington for the Championship, and may in the process steal a bid as well. I have Arizona State and Washington as locks ... not everyone does.
- I still have Virginia as the #1 overall seed despite their loss to Florida State yesterday, but not sure it will stand in the final scrub I do before selections are announced. Duke probably sowed up a #1 finally beating UNC with Williamson on the court. There appear to me to be 7 teams in contention for #1 Seeds. Still pretty fluid on the top 3 seed lines.
- I will be doing a full detailed scrub of the field after today's action and will produce a final seed list before tomorrow's selection show, so this could change. Some of my Quad and Net data is a bit stale.
My Quick Bid Math
- 60 of 68 Bids are now locked
- 12 Bids have been awarded to teams that have already won a Conference Tournament
- 11 Teams will be awarded the only bid their conference will get when their Tournament concluded
- 37 Teams have locked up At-Large Bids (Though 9 could still be awarded an auto-bid if they win their conference tournament
- 8 At-Large Bids Remain with 15 Teams in Contention for remaining 8 slots. Each Bid Thief will reduce the number of At-Large spots available by 1.
- Conferences that could still produce bid Thieves:
- MAC - If Buffalo loses to Bowling Green in Championship Game
- MWC - If Utah State loses to San Diego State in Championship Game (Assumes Utah State is a lock)
- PAC12 - If Washington loses to Oregon in in Championship Game (Assumes Arizona State is a lock)
- AMERICAN - If Memphis or Wichita State win Tournament. (Assumes Temple is in, and isn't squeezed out by other bid thieves)
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