Full Bracket Projection - 03/06/2020

Here is a complete update heading into the last weekend of Regular season play for the major conferences.  This update includes a Full Bracket Projection, Complete Seed List, 2nd and 3rd Round Site Assignments and a comparison to the seed list from 02/28.

I did a complete scrub of the data, resulting in some changes in seeding that were more a result of re-evaluation than game outcomes this week.  There are more than a couple challenging resumes to try and sort through.  More on that in a later post ...

New Teams In The Field;

• Texas (At-Large)
• Tulsa ( American Athletic Leader)
• Eastern Washington (Big Sky Leader)
• North Carolina Central (Mid-Eastern Athletic Leader)

At-Large Teams Out of the Field:

• Richmond
• North Carolina State

Procedural Seed Adjustments (To Comply with NCAA Bracketing Guidelines)

• Colorado - Moved UP to a 5 Seed
• Michigan - Moved UP to a 6 Seed
• USC - Moved UP to a 9 Seed
• Ohio State - Moved DOWN to a 6 Seed
• Auburn - Moved DOWN to a 7 Seed
• East Tennessee State - Moved DOWN to a 10 Seed

Moving on Up (Biggest Seed/S-Curve Gains)

• Providence - 3 Seed Lines and 11 Spots on the S-Curve
• Virginia - 2 Seed Lines and 7 Spots on the S-Curve
• Villanova - 2 Seed Lines and 5 Spots on the S-Curve
• USC - 1 Seed Line and 5 Spots on the S-Curve

Sinking Like a Rock (Biggest Seed/S-Curve Drops)

• Marquette - 2 Seed Lines and 8 Spots on the S-Curve
• Seton Hall  - 1 Seed Line and 6 Spots on the S-Curve
• UC Irvine - 1 Seed Line and 5 Spots on the S-Curve

Bubbles Burst - (No Longer Under Consideration for an At-Large Bid)

• Georgetown
• Alabama
• UNC Greensboro
• Notre Dame
• Syracuse